City of El Dorado Hills
Projected Annual Budget Surplus

These projections are from the Comprehensive Fiscal Analysis (CFA) sensitivity analyses,
which examine sensitivity to differences in revenue from two major factors.
Data are excerpted from Tables A-1, E-1, E-2, and E-3

Annual surplus graph


The alternative, projected County General Fund annual shortfall:

County General Fund shortfall

Here is the County document that this data comes from:    Entire document as pdf file    Table containing shortfall data

Other County budget areas may be even more negative. On October 27 the No Gridlock Committee annouced that it has sued the County for setting Traffic Impact Mitigation (TIM) fees that underfund the level required by the County General Plan by $275 million. A report submitted earlier this year by El Dorado CountyDepartment of Transportation identified a $133 million backlog in deferred road maintenance.

DOT Road Maintenance report as:    PowerPoint presentation     PDF file


Data graphed for the proposed City of El Dorado Hills:

Annual budget surplus or (deficit) resulting from different revenue scenarios. The CFA assumes continuation of services transferred to the city at the same levels now provided to EDH as an unincorporated area. The CFA uses conservative assumptions and estimates, actual results probably will be better. 

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Accumulated
Surplus through 2015
Nominal Growth,
Historical VLF		 $8,083,430 $2,797,325 $3,315,094 $4,462,377 $5,195,232 $5,325,292 $6,344,125 $5,997,064 $6,454,941 $49,388,522
25% Reduced Growth,
Historical VLF		 $7,300,665 $2,093,458 $2,501,389 $3,572,335 $4,045,085 $4,168,541 $5,106,559 $4,444,001 $4,780,645 $39,426,320
Nominal Growth,
Current VLF		 $4,910,751 ($396,603) $102,446 $1,228,064 $1,932,438 $2,058,128 $3,096,806 $3,297,353 $3,718,936 $21,361,961
25% Reduced Growth,
Current VLF		 $4,251,834 ($978,566) ($592,007) $455,275 $899,173 $995,519 $1,921,100 $1,962,645 $2,266,767 $12,595,384


Note on VLF revenue:

Assembly Bill 1602 is now pending in the state legislature to fix a problem introduced unintentionally into state law for distributing a portion of Vehicle License Fee revenue to new cities. As currently written, this bill will restore VLF revenue to cities incorporated after August 5, 2004 to the same levels provided to cities incorporated before that date. It will further enhance this revenue for new cities by 50% in their first year after incorporation, then will decrease the subsidy by 10% per year for five years.

Other incorporations currently in progress in California probably require this change to state law in order to be fiscally viable. El Dorado Hills is fiscally the strongest among current incorporations and is viable without the VLF funding remedy.

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